According to a poll, former President Donald Trump is the undisputed front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024 and leads President Joe Biden in a fictitious general election rematch.
According to the Emerson College Polling survey, which was published on Thursday, 44% of registered voters surveyed said they would choose Trump over Biden and 41% would choose Biden in a repeat of the 2020 race. When compared to Emerson College’s poll on November 22, in which 41% of respondents said they would support Trump and 45% said they would vote for Biden, Trump and Biden have essentially switched positions.
Biden’s approval rating has interestingly increased five points to 44 percent from the November poll, but he still has a negative approval rating as president, with 48 percent of respondents disapproving. Early in December, Trump started announcing his populist program in a series of videos, which coincided with his victory over Biden and the rise in his favorability noted in a recent Economist/YouGov poll.
Emerson also predicted how Biden and Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL), who has consistently trailed Trump in GOP primary polling, may do in the general election. With 40 percent of the vote to the Florida governor’s 39 percent, Biden barely leads in that contest.
In a hypothetical general election matchup, Trump edges Biden by a little margin, but he dominates the rest of the probable GOP primary field. Trump is supported by 55 percent of “Republican voters” in the poll, which puts him 26 percentage points ahead of DeSantis, who comes in at 29 percent. With 6% of the participants’ support, former vice president Mike Pence is in third place, followed by former U.S. ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley with 3%. One percent of voters endorse Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), ex-House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI), governor Kristi Noem (R-SD), and ex-Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus three percent and was conducted between January 19 and 21 using a sample of 1,015 registered voters. The polling company stated: “It is important to keep in mind that subsets based on demographics carry along them wider margins of error, as the size of the sample is lowered.”